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Game chat: Mets vs Rangers, 8:05 p.m

Game chat: Mets vs Rangers, 8:05 p.m

Tuesday, June 18, 2024 • 8:05 PM
Globe Levensveld • Arlington, TX
RHP Luis Severino (4-2, 3.12) vs. RHP Michael Lorenzen (4-3, 2.86)
SNY

The Grimace Era Mets are doing great!

The Mets won their sixth game in a row on Monday evening and scored more than twenty hits for the first time since 2019. The Mets are now one game out of the final Wild Card spot and for the first time since beginning this improbable run, the Mets vaulted over two teams they were chasing.

Tonight the Mets will try to climb over another wall they have encountered this year. There have been times when the offense has been so bad that the offense disappears in the next game – it’s even happened during this win streak! The atmosphere is good, let’s go for seven in a row tonight!

Game chat: Mets vs Rangers, 8:05 p.m

Photo by: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Mets lineup

  1. Francisco Lindor – SS
  2. Brandon Nimmo – L.F
  3. JD Martinez – DH
  4. Pete Alonso – 1B
  5. Starling Marte – RF
  6. Mark Vientos – 3B
  7. Francisco Alvarez -C
  8. Jeff McNeil – 2B
  9. Harrison Bader – CF

Luis Severino has thrown 78 innings over 13 starts this year with a 3.12 ERA, 3.92 FIP, 1.179 WHIP and a 123 ERA+. In his last two starts, he allowed two earned runs on 14 hits and three walks over 14 innings. He has allowed exactly one run in three of his last four starts. Severino had a strong start against the Rangers in 2023, holding them scoreless through six innings, scattering five hits.

The Rangers have the following career marks against him:

Opposite arrangement

  1. Marcus Semien – 2B
  2. Corey Seager – SS
  3. Josh Smith – DH
  4. Nathaniel Lowe – 1B
  5. Wyatt Langford -F
  6. Travis Jankowski – RF
  7. Jonah Heim -C
  8. Ezequiel Duran – 3B
  9. Leody Tavares – CF

The Mets bats will look to channel Monday night’s energy against tonight’s starter, Michael Lorenzen. Over 11 starts this season, he has thrown 66 innings with a 2.86 ERA, 4.71 FIP, 1.182 WHIP and a 138 ERA+. Lorenzen’s ERA is a lot better than his career mark (4.01), but his FIP is actually worse than his career mark (4.35).

Since May 13, he has allowed six runs over 37 innings (1.46 ERA, 4.12 FIP). Last year he faced the Mets three times (one start, two relief outings) and held the Mets to one run in nine innings. The Mets have the following career grades against him:

  • Pete Alonso 2-9, BB
  • Francisco Álvarez 0-2
  • Harrison Bader 1-4, 2BB, 2K
  • Jose Iglesias 1-2
  • Francisco Lindor 3-12, K
  • Starling Marte 6-17, 2 2B, HR, 3 BB, 3 K
  • JD Martinez 1-3
  • Jeff McNeil 0-6, 3 BB
  • Brandon Nimmo 1-10, 2B, K
  • Tyrone Taylor 0-0, BB

Game notes

Adolis Garcia gets the evening off. The ALCS MVP has struggled this season, going 0-for-3 last night. He’s slashing .213/.270/.407/.677 per year.

Three things to pay attention to

  1. Francisco Lindor. Since May 19, Francisco Lindor has hit .330/.395/.566 with 15 extra base hits. He hit five home runs and stole five bases. On Monday evening, he went 4-for-4 with three runs scored. Since June 12, he has reached base thirteen times and scored nine times! This is exactly what we dreamed of.
  2. Hitting with runners in scoring position. The only way players like Lindor can have stats like nine runs in thirteen runs on base is to hit with runners in scoring position. On Sunday, the Mets went 5-for-8 with RISP and scored 11 runs. On Monday night, the Mets went 9-for-17 with RISP and scored 14 points. I’m trying to contain my optimism now, but it’s almost impossible after seeing results like this!
  3. Which Lorenzen will the Mets get tonight? Lorenzen had some good success against the Mets last year and has had some pretty fantastic results in recent months, despite the Rangers not always taking advantage. However, there are some warning signs for him in the underlying numbers. His xERA is 4.65, almost two runs higher than his actual number. His xFIP is 4.71, which suggests his true FIP is likely accurate.

Let’s go Mets!