Open Championship 2024 Final Round Odds & Golf Betting At Royal Troon

The Claret Jug is up for grabs in the final round of the 152nd Open Championship at Royal Troon. Nine players are under par and within three strokes of the leader, now held by American Billy Horschel (-4). Mega-longshot Englishman Daniel Brown (-3) made a double-bogey on his final hole on Saturday to leave the leader and a chance to play in the final group again after battling the elements and third-round leader Shane Lowry (-1) in Saturday’s final pairing. 2019 Open Champion Lowry had a day to forget, shooting a 6-over par 77 as rain and wind challenged the leaders on Saturday.

“I’m definitely going in there tomorrow thinking I can win the tournament, but it’s just tough right now,” Lowry said after a tough Saturday in Troon. “It was a grind. It wasn’t really fun,” he said, adding that he hit a driver 220 yards into the wind and the pot bunker to make bogey on the par-3 No. 17.

Horschel is an eight-time winner on the PGA Tour and, at age 37, is chasing his first major title.

The top of a tight leaderboard includes 2024 PGA Championship winner Xander Schauffele (-3) after shooting a 69 on Saturday. The 30-year-old Schauffele was a co-leader going into the final round of the PGA Championship. His good friend and playing partner Patrick Cantlay was out of contention after shooting a 75 on Saturday

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler (-2) is on a quest to win his third major and first Claret Jug at the age of 28. Scheffler is having a historic season on Tour with six victories.

Scheffler’s good friend Sam Burns, 27, could also make history on Sunday. PGA lead data analyst Justin Ray reports that Burns was T-96 after a 76 in Round 1, and he was even 7-over par after 11 holes. The worst first-round position by a male major champion of all time was T-84 by Steve Jones at the 1996 U.S. Open.

Top scoring rounds on Saturday included Sam Burns (65), South African Tristan Lawrence (65), Russell Henley (66), Adam Scott (66) and Sungjae Im (66). Justin Thomas shot 67 to get back to even par for the tournament.

The leaders had the worst of it Saturday afternoon with rain and stronger winds. Many of them hit 3-wood into the 238-yard par 3 at No. 17, including Scheffler, who drove it to 3 feet for birdie. Lowry hit a driver into the greenside bunker for another bogey, as did playing partner Dan Brown, who then double-bogeyed No. 18.

“I literally smoked a 3-wood, kind of off the heel and thin in the wind and rain, and it went 218 yards or something. So that was pretty humbling,” Xander Schauffele said after teeing off on the par 3 No. 17.

Lowry was a +180 favorite to win The Open going into the third round on Saturday. He built a three-shot lead after five holes and was 8-under par when rain hit Troon and Lowry found himself in trouble. A double-bogey 5 on the short 120-yard Par 3 “Postage Stamp” hole was set up by a tee shot into a pot bunker.

After shooting a par 71 on Saturday with a pair of bogeys on the back nine, Scheffler said, “I think that was probably the toughest nine holes I’ve played so far (in my career).”

Adjusted odds to win Open Championship in the final round

Main favourites and contenders golf chances from FanDuel Sportsbook are updated regularly and are subject to change, including props and live betting.

• Billy Horschel (-4): +600
• Xander Schauffele (-3): +330
• Justin Roos (-3): +800
• Sam Brandt (-3): +850
• Russel Henley (-3): +900
• Triston Lawrence (-3): +1400
• Daniel Bruin (-3): +2200
• Schot Scheffler (-2): +360
• Shane Lowry (-1): +3000
• Adam Scott (E): +4500
• Justin Thomas (E): +5500
• Matthew Jordan (E): +15000
• Sungjae Im (+1): +12000
• Byeong Hun An (+1): +27000
• Jon Rahm (+2): +15000
• Collin Morikawa (+2): +20000
• Dustin Johnson (+2): +40000

In the previous nine Open Championships held at Royal Troon, the winner was in the top five after 54 holes. Each of the previous four winners at Troon was a first-time major champion, and Horschel, Henley, Burns, Brown and Lawrence are in position to win their first major.

A look at the odds for The Open Championship and a course preview a month before The Open showed triple-digit odds for Billy Horschel (+14,000), Russell Henley (+12,000) and Justin Rose (+10,000), with Sam Burns (+10,000 to +6,500) taking the money.

Open Championship Round 4 Matches

Additional final round matches and any bets will be placed as soon as the leading online bookmakers offer more matches and odds.

• Schauffele (-120) vs. Scheffler (+100) – 72 holes
• Day (-110) vs. Straka (-110) – Wed day

Open Championship Win Probability

The Data Golf live model gave Xander Schauffele a 25.4% chance to win The Open as he stood on the 16th tee on Saturday, two strokes behind the leader of the huge outsider, Englishman Daniel Brown, whose odds to win The Open were an astronomical 1,700/1 at Circa Sports in Las Vegas going into the tournament. Brown even had to make a 20-foot putt on his final hole of Open qualifying to get into the tournament.

“Links golf was the best of me on those last two holes, but overall I’m happy, I guess,” Brown said after Saturday’s round. “But if you had told me I was going into the final round of the Open one or two shots behind, I would have ripped your hand off.”

Horschel was -5 under par when he saved par on the 13th hole and was given a 14.2% chance to win. Daniel Brown was the leader at -6 and an 11% chance to win, while Lowry had dropped to -4 after 12 holes and was at 12% before struggling and coming in with five total bogeys on the back nine.

Scottie Scheffler still had a 10.5% chance of winning after 14 holes on Saturday with a -2, but bogeys on holes 13 and 14 dropped him back before making a big birdie on hole 17.

And now it’s time for the final round on Sunday. Below you will find the updated odds according to Data Golf.

• Schauffele (-3): 21.9%
• Scheffler (-2): 16.1%
• Horschel (-4): 13.8%
• Henley (-3): 11.6%
• Burns (-3): 10.3%
• Lawrence (-3): 6.6%
• Rose (-3): 6.4%
• Brown (-3): 3.8%
• Lowry (-1): 2.8%
• Scott (E): 1.5%
• Thomas (E): 1.4%

Data Golf’s live tournament stats show Horschel leads the Open field in strokes earned Total, and is No. 2 in Tee-to-Green behind Scheffler, who also leads in Approach stats, just ahead of Lowry. Brown tops the field in SG: Putting, which has saved him while he’s outside the top 50 in Approach and Around the Green.

Follow the final round of The Open and weekly golf tournament odds, picks and previews as the latest major championship wraps up Sunday. The PGA Tour’s top pros will also be showing their skills at the Summer Olympics in Paris with golf competition Aug. 1-4 and the FedEx Cup Playoffs starting Aug. 14 in Memphis for the St. Jude Championship.

You can count on that.

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